Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 119.682884 138.886598 161.812824 191.687941 230.346919 2.798119e+02 349.874815
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 93.997841 116.740623 146.927188 191.575299 259.165126 3.640672e+02 555.372179
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 80.452432 104.217308 137.974428 192.410062 284.926456 4.529993e+02 841.726037
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 69.301141 92.219995 126.246986 184.439932 291.931378 5.126836e+02 1142.821291
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 64.368381 88.108228 125.056974 192.493225 329.736401 6.585697e+02 1933.427034
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 57.841482 80.527516 116.865597 185.953077 335.802406 7.361933e+02 2736.820598
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 53.909420 76.432232 113.653238 187.714717 360.641677 8.894945e+02 4733.919612
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 49.841683 71.607169 108.411874 184.195683 371.619774 1.013297e+03 7890.309010
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 49.063723 72.067915 112.508190 200.884743 443.551601 1.484379e+03 37593.113829
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 49.286194 74.210079 120.003638 227.360030 563.664418 2.572496e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 46.548143 70.833479 116.315317 226.331660 593.012974 3.214722e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 44.377117 68.264436 113.890703 227.940632 634.575983 4.251208e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 41.466604 64.407978 109.012704 223.921889 660.788918 5.579062e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 39.108389 61.409818 105.651412 223.659284 708.237403 8.298389e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 37.127819 58.916137 102.995191 224.703684 766.079411 1.367404e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.614023 55.175951 97.127841 214.731492 757.138922 1.698297e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.664460 54.376859 97.704046 224.807935 881.267092 5.215443e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 31.698738 51.410371 92.964019 216.621262 879.456904 8.272097e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 30.512934 49.904158 91.442660 218.823431 958.936885 4.673444e+05 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 29.073962 47.779584 88.220549 214.426600 984.333894 6.843367e+06 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 29.013630 48.446729 91.777667 235.355957 1281.428660 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 29.368171 50.003586 97.811031 268.949717 1883.245276 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 28.270965 48.385108 95.466009 267.636112 2023.901596 NaN NaN